It used to be that higher inflation meant higher rates, period. That changed abruptly beginning in 2011. The combination of global financial panic and unconventional monetary policy helped rates plummet even as inflation recovered from its post-meltdown lows. The longstanding correlation seemed to have broken, but it’s beginning to look like it has merely been dormant.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Inflation is Just One of Rates' Multiple Personalities

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The US presidential election and the ensuing shift in tone on the part of the Federal Reserve were certainly game-changers for financial markets in the short term. But now that the dust is settling from the initial reaction, markets are looking like they’re not entirely sure where they want to go from here. Are they confused, scared, or just waiting?
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Are Markets Confused, Scared, or Just Waiting?

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Although the first three weeks of the year weren’t inconsequential, investors were understandably eager to react to Trump’s first week in office. One of the most notable developments was a break higher for stock prices after weeks of stagnation. This had the unfortunate effect of pushing bond yields (aka “rates”) even higher.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Rising Rates, Higher Prices, and Record Low Inventories

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