The future is always uncertain when it comes to financial markets and interest rate movement, but there are times where a certain series of events seems more likely. For most of 2019, mid-March looked to be one of those times.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Rates Dropping Fast as Home Sales Bounce Back
The Fed Officially Announces Big Bond-Buying Change
Market participants sensed that the Fed was suddenly changing its tune with respect to its balance sheet back in January. The balance sheet primarily refers to all the bonds the Fed purchased as a part of the various Quantitative Easing plans conducted throughout the recovery to the Great Recession. At the time, those QE plans technically involved “printing money.”
But it wasn’t just money dropped from helicopters. The money was used to buy investments–in this case T
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
The Fed Officially Announces Big Bond-Buying Change
Lowest Rates in 14 Months And More Volatility Ahead
Mortgage rates dropped to new long term lows this week with the average lender at the best levels since January 2018. For the most part, we haven’t seen much volatility this year, but that could change soon.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Lowest Rates in 14 Months And More Volatility Ahead
Housing Pops; Rates Drop
Things were starting to look pretty scary for housing up until a few weeks ago. There was a chance that some of the weakness was temporary. Last week’s Pending Home Sales report was strong, but we didn’t have any other big housing reports to validate the hope… until now.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Housing Pops; Rates Drop
Home Sales Bouncing Back, But So Are Rates
Two weeks ago, we talked about why 2019 could actually be great for the housing market, despite downbeat reports and the likelihood of one more month of weakness for Existing Home Sales. This week, we saw the bounce we were looking for in Pending Home Sales, but we also saw rates rise fairly quickly.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Home Sales Bouncing Back, But So Are Rates
Why The Housing Market Cares About The Fed
The Federal Reserve (aka “the Fed”) is the US central bank that sets policies relating to the flow of money. Even though they’ll be the first to admit they don’t have perfect control of the situation, their goals are to keep employment high, prices stable, and financial instability at a minimum.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Why The Housing Market Cares About The Fed
Why 2019 Could Actually be Great For Housing and Mortgage Markets
By some measures, housing and mortgage markets took a turn for the worse in 2018. Some of the weakness can be thought of in a positive light (i.e. housing catching its breath after a strong run). But the rest of the weakness was cause for concern. It raised questions as to how deep the housing and mortgage market corrections might go.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Why 2019 Could Actually be Great For Housing and Mortgage Markets
Lowest Rates in a Year, And They Could Go Even Lower. What Changed?
The last 2 months of 2018 marked a solid run for mortgage rates. December in particular was the best month in at least at least 4 years in terms of the pace of improvement. Balance that against the fact that early November saw the highest rates in more than 7 years!
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Lowest Rates in a Year, And They Could Go Even Lower. What Changed?
Why We're Seeing Huge Moves in Home Sales, Prices, and Rates
Brace yourself. There’s a lot to unpack this week. When it comes to factors affecting home sales, rates, and markets in general, we’ve rarely seen such a combination of complexity and uncertainty.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Why We're Seeing Huge Moves in Home Sales, Prices, and Rates
Housing Market Weakness Depends on Perspective
This week’s biggest housing-related headline was the drop to a 3-year low in Existing Home Sales. Combined with other recent housing data, things are clearly not as good as they had been. But where you draw the line between doom, gloom, and reality depends on your perspective.
Source: Kevin Litwicki Universal Lending
Housing Market Weakness Depends on Perspective